Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000103 0.000116 0.000129 0.000144 0.000160 0.000179 0.000200
2024-10-20 0.000086 0.000103 0.000122 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000241
2024-10-27 0.000074 0.000093 0.000116 0.000145 0.000182 0.000227 0.000285
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000084 0.000109 0.000143 0.000188 0.000245 0.000323
2024-11-10 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000146 0.000200 0.000272 0.000374
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000072 0.000102 0.000145 0.000206 0.000291 0.000417
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000067 0.000098 0.000145 0.000215 0.000314 0.000466
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000062 0.000094 0.000144 0.000220 0.000331 0.000509
2024-12-08 0.000037 0.000058 0.000090 0.000142 0.000225 0.000349 0.000554
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000055 0.000088 0.000142 0.000231 0.000370 0.000604
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000085 0.000142 0.000238 0.000391 0.000657
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000143 0.000245 0.000413 0.000713
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000141 0.000249 0.000432 0.000766
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000078 0.000142 0.000257 0.000457 0.000833
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000077 0.000143 0.000266 0.000484 0.000906
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000040 0.000074 0.000141 0.000268 0.000502 0.000962
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000144 0.000280 0.000536 0.001053
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000143 0.000285 0.000557 0.001120
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000070 0.000143 0.000292 0.000584 0.001202
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000068 0.000141 0.000295 0.000603 0.001269
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000066 0.000140 0.000299 0.000623 0.001340
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000140 0.000305 0.000648 0.001423
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000140 0.000311 0.000675 0.001514